Hello youngs, it's your Uncle Drunky. Today, I'd like to talk about my various experiences with the three (country), Inc., as the western press seems to like to 'brand' these folks. First, I'll talk about the granddaddy, Japan, Inc. and how they were going to overrun us in the mid 80s to early 90s, how they fizzled, and where they are now. Then I'll do the same with the other two. So sorry for any oversimplifications, but hey this is the 20,000 foot view-- look all this stuff up yourself if you don't believe me.
Japan rose from literally NOTHING after the war to an economic powerhouse literally by force of groupthink will. It also didn't hurt that their people having a 40%+ savings rate gave them what continues to be a strong currency against everything else in the world -- second only to the Euro. With this strong currency, in the 90s they 'outsourced' their auto operations and started snapping up US property at bargain basement (to them) prices. Remember Crichton's 'Rising Sun' and all that hoo-haa?
But this boom wasn't built to last. A good chunk of their money was derived via uh, 'collaboration' with the Japanese Mafia, aka the Yakuza. You have to understand that the Yakuza are integral to Japanese society. And they are REALLY intertwined in the banking and construction industries. And probably the other ones as well. Anyway, Japan blew an economic bubble, their real estate and stock markets crashed, and most Japanese these days are living on a combination of their savings reserves and underemployment. This is their lost decade. And they're crawling out of the muck. The fact that all that overwork and 'economic animal' competition cratered their birthrate is another problem they're trying to recover from.
Despite all this, you have to have some respect for a country that has half the population of the USA crammed into the size of California. That's mostly mountainous. They kicked ass before, they'll do it again.
China is actually TWO CHINAS (actually more if you include the other Dragons). Taiwan ROC (Republic of China) is something the Mainland (the PRC, the 'People's Republic of China, what a misnomer) treats with kid gloves, basically because there are a lot of relatives on either side of the strait. Both of these Chinas consider the other the subordinate part of itself. The PRC still kinda can't get their act together, but as long as the smaller brother doesn't get too uppity it doesn't care to. There's also the same question with the other 'special economic zones' that it doesn't want to kill the goose that lays the egg.
Taiwan, believe it or not, is a lot like Japan. And yes, they are as cutting edge as the Japanese are. Did I mention that the Nationalists (ROC) and the Communists (PRC) fought the Japanese for over 10 years from the 30s? And won?
Mainland China is the world's manufacturer, even of tech hardware. Their currency is stupid cheap which is why the west outsources to them. The have a number of problems with consumer safety (lead paint, mercury etal), but their main problem is intellectual theft. If you employ the Chinese, you'll get good productivity, but expect your technology to be stolen, because employees are EXPECTED to report to the government what they are working on and 'transfer' that tech to the government. The Google.CN thing is NOTHING NEW to old asia hands. So is your random guy working on proprietary hardware taking a balcony dive when prototypes go missing. There's much hidden in China that will come to light as more Americans go East. 50% of their quality productivity is spying should tell you something, especially when compared to our Indian friends.
But make no mistake: like the Japanese before them the Chinese are in this for the long term and they're in it to win.
It also helps and is to our detriment that they hold about 25% of the US national debt. So we're long term partners unless our (the United States) politicians do something insanely stupid. Like 10 years ago... Regardless, all this stuff in the press about China running out of steam is poppycock. China has depth, and more importantly, the population to power out of anything, economic or otherwise. Just bear in mind all of your 'Intellectual Property' are belong to THEM.
Now we get to the bottom of the pile, the Indians. By the bhagwan, where do I start? India is a country that's NEVER gotten its act together, even after independence from the British. They have now, more than 3x the population of their nearest contentious neighbor, Pakistan, and despite that, have been fought to a standstill. Most of their country isn't even controlled by the government in the way the United States or China really is, and hasn't since the Brits left.
But what control there is is exerted by the disingenuous upper caste Desis. The Upper Caste is the face and conduct of India. Never forget that.
Basically, Indians have the reputation of being the con men of the Asias (NE, SE, South). Even in their own country corruption and graft rule. In other countries in NE or SE Asia, they're marginalized into ghettos and basically ply some trade other than 'Informations Technology' -- tailor comes to mind, I saw a lot of those in SE Asia --and if they keep a low profile then they don't get expelled, as they have been from NE Asia from time to time..
The whole caste system of light skin good, dark skin bad has allowed them to alternately exploit their 'lower castes' for thousands of years, or be exploited by lighter skinned westerners.
Most of their 'educational institutions like University of Hyderabad, despite what the Desi upper caste types say, are no better than the average community college in a small town in the American midwest. There's the common practice of 'if you know what the acronym means, it goes on your CV' that leads to a ream of CVs of 22 years old having 20 years of 'experience'. Or, that conning the rich, stupid invariable white manager is an innovative business system.
Up until recently, outsourcing and offshoring to India was stupid cheap, and the rash of copypasta'd resumes really didn't matter to the equally corrupt Boomer middle managers in the private sector. But now, from what I've been hearing, the Indians are beginning to cost 'clients' money, and the recent actions by the corrupt judges in New Jersey to stifle 1st (and 2nd) Amendment rights is bringing to light the common practices of bribery and graft that has been prevalent not only back east in the USA, but equally so in India for as long as India has been India. Nice perfect storm of corruption, no? But getting back to our Desi friends...
In short, the upper caste Indians are doing what they've done with every country they've tried to 'overrun' -- wearing out their welcome. I really can't blame the lower caste folks because they really don't have the will to cross those in power, the 'fair & white' Desis.
Their weakness is the same weakness they've always had. Lower caste groups get bossed by the upper caste types until they're collectively bashed on or kicked out of the host country. The whole 'Indus Superiority' complex doesn't help.
As you kinda figured out, there are two nationalities that I just WILL NOT do business with. One is Nigerians, and the other is Desi Indians. Seriously, the Desis are the 419 scammers of all Asia. That's why when they came in in the late 90s to early 00s cutting deals, I was in disbelief, because most of the CVs that I saw read like these 419 scam emails in resume format. Heck, they still do. Sorry Indian folks, but just because you know what HTML stands for doesn't mean you get to put it on your resume.
So how do the 'Incs' regard each other? Japan and China have a big love/hate on each other. Memories are LONG. That's what you should take away from any dealing with NE Asia. China looks to Japan for IT guidance, a lot of their data processing was invented in Japan and has been adapted to Chinese use.
I see China and India in a conflict within 5-10 years. You don't build up two former enemies (one financing your debt, the other you just hand over your tech industry to) unless there's some punchline at the end of the joke. And I see a lot of wealth and human life being destroyed in South Asia in the 2010s, in much the same way it was destroyed in Europe in the 1910s for much the same reason.
It really doesn't help that India thinks they're the equal of everyone. Or, should I say, the Desis do, and they're the face of India. Until the lower castes figure out that this is what's been holding India back for 100s of years, India will be in the same or worse shape 10 or even 100 years from now.
Where does the USA figure into this? Well, right now we're displacing a couple million Americans with offshore / outsourcing by paying these yobs pennies on the dollar while most of the American people are oblivious to the drop in overall quality. Truly a you get what THEY (US Businesses) pay for. This is recouping a LOT of M1 and M2, and also destroying a LOT of wealth in the US. But who cares about the middle class? Certainly not the public or private sectors in the USA. Why *wouldn't* the Desis come in and skim off this? They were invited.
This'll go on for awhile until there's enough cultural leakage from the old country to make it unpalatable for the US government or the private sector to continue these practices. It's kinda like how the whole 'Global Warming' -> Climate Change -> Climategate thing is unraveling.
Make no mistake: this perfect wave of corrupt Boomer managers and Desi Bodyshoppers won't last. It was very smart to enlist shills like Vivek Wadhwa and Don Tenant. And you'd be right to say that Americans are gullible. And their memories are short, compared to Asia. And it's working. For now....
Though probably not beyond the next presidential election. So, my Desi friends: You'd better steal what there is to steal, because, as you know, history will invariably repeat itself. And then we get to rebuild. And remember.
[Pretty much a primer on the Yakuza and Japanese Society]